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Dragonflight Launch Date Predictions Based on Previous Expansion Alpha/Betas

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We're looking at some interesting Dragonflight release date predictions based on previous expansion Alpha/Betas and average release times between expansions.

Reddit user Jeth84 compared the dates for all World of Warcraft expansions and figured out an average release time of 769 days between Shadowlands and the upcoming expansion.

Content creator MrGM tried to calculate a possible Dragonflight launch date based on previous expansion Alpha/Betas. On average, there were 221 days between Alpha and release, but we only have 192 days left in 2022.

When do you think Dragonflight will be released? Let us know in the comments!

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Weird take but I really hope they're just pushing it for numbers and are going to completely ignore all of the promises on timing that they're making and release it whenever it's ready.

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All this info is all dependent that they haven't been working on this game for longer than they have said, this is why speculations for release is so silly in my opinion, we don't have much information.

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1 hour ago, Dreamcatcher said:

I remember in one of interviews after announce of DF they said that they started working on DF before SL launch. So i don't know how to think about this

I think they should have shown a lot more in the reveal if that were the case. That is, if there was already a lot of work done.

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11 minutes ago, Prophet001 said:

I think they should have shown a lot more in the reveal if that were the case. That is, if there was already a lot of work done.

Well Beta should start soon. I guess we will find out if that's true or not

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My guess on release date will be either 1st or 2nd week of December 2022. They certainly won't release it on December 27th as one speculation had it (in the middle of christmas/new years holidays). And releasing it in November isn't likely, as the pre-patch would then have to be pushed for mid/late October. Overwatch 2 comes out in early October...

Of course, this is all speculation based on when Alpha began in previous expansions. Friends & Family Alpha is for internal testing, and thus not necessarily widely known to the public. For all we know, they could start up Beta very soon. With the removal of borrowed power systems in Dragonflight, it's entirely possible to release this year. Keep in mind, while the announcement came in April, it was originally intended for November 2021 at Blizzcon (which never took place). So when the announcement was made, it was already 5 months "ahead of schedule".

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On 6/24/2022 at 12:28 AM, Meurik said:

My guess on release date will be either 1st or 2nd week of December 2022. They certainly won't release it on December 27th as one speculation had it (in the middle of christmas/new years holidays). And releasing it in November isn't likely, as the pre-patch would then have to be pushed for mid/late October. Overwatch 2 comes out in early October...

This seems unlikely, since I doubt they would risk an even bigger overlap with the first raidtier and the holidays than they did last time with Castle Nathria. A lot of people were unhappy about progress starting what was it, two weeks before christmas? And then having a break and basically redoing the progress again.
With the timeframe of being released early december, you would either get a raid release during the holidays, or early new year, which would then be a whole month without raid content at the start of the new expansion. And we all know how much focus Blizzard puts on raiding as THE endgame to do.

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